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Sunday, August 2, 2026

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The Afternoon Take - Energy Market Briefing
The Afternoon Take

Energy Market Briefing

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☀️Morning Wire7:00 AM CST

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Oil Prices Surge as Global Supply Concerns Mount - Bakken Wire
Oil Prices

Oil Prices Surge as Global Supply Concerns Mount

Front-month crude oil futures posted strong gains in early August trading, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rising 1.29% to $84.67 per barrel and Brent crude climbing 1.22% to $90.12, according to live market data. The price surge extends a rally that saw Brent cap its strongest monthly gain since March, as reported by Rigzone. The immediate driver for prices is a significant tightening of U.S. inventories. According to a Rigzone summary of the latest U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) report, crude oil stocks, excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, fell by more than 7 million barrels week-over-week to 404.5 million barrels as of July 24. This substantial drawdown signals robust demand and tightening physical supplies. Geopolitical conflicts are also underpinning the market. Rigzone reported that the strong monthly performance in July was fueled by concerns that global crude supplies could be disrupted by ongoing tensions, adding a risk premium to prices....

☀️Morning Wire·Aug 2
Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27, Up 4 from Previous Week - Bakken Wire
Rig Report

Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27, Up 4 from Previous Week

The number of active drilling rigs in North Dakota's Bakken formation held unchanged at 27 on Sunday, August 2, 2026, according to Bakken Wire live data. No rigs were added, removed, or relocated since the previous day. The current count represents an increase of four rigs compared to one week ago, when 23 rigs were active on July 26. Activity is also up by two rigs from the level of 25 recorded one month ago on July 3. The steady rig count and recent upward trend coincide with a significant federal regulatory development. According to a July 31 report from Rigzone, industry groups have welcomed the Senate Natural Resources Committee's approval of the License to Drill Act (S.5039). Dan Naatz, Executive Vice President and Chief Policy Officer of the Independent Petroleum Association of America (IPAA), stated the act reauthorizes "a long-standing policy that is an important framework for federal land...

☀️Morning Wire·Aug 2
No New Permits or Drilling Activity Reported by ND DMR on Saturday - Bakken Wire
Daily Activity

No New Permits or Drilling Activity Reported by ND DMR on Saturday

The North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources (DMR) reported no new drilling or permitting activity in its daily filing report for Saturday, August 1, 2026. The daily activity report, which tracks new regulatory filings from operators, listed no new permits to drill, wells spudded (drilling commenced), completions, or plugging operations for the prior day. According to the DMR, the report contained no new filings. No-activity days in the daily report are a normal occurrence, particularly on weekends and holidays when state offices are closed and operator field activity often slows. The report provides a near-real-time snapshot of administrative and operational steps in the Bakken and across North Dakota. The DMR's daily activity report is a key source of early intelligence for industry analysts, landowners, and service companies, detailing the formal initiation and conclusion of well lifecycles. The next report, covering activity for Sunday, August 2, is expected to be released...

☀️Morning Wire·Aug 2
ExxonMobil, Chevron Use High Profits for Debt Reduction - Bakken Wire
Operator News

ExxonMobil, Chevron Use High Profits for Debt Reduction

ExxonMobil and Chevron, two of the largest operators in North Dakota's Bakken formation, are directing recent windfall profits toward reducing debt, according to industry reports. This financial strategy signals a focus on strengthening balance sheets rather than significantly increasing shareholder returns through buybacks. Rigzone reported that both ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. and Chevron Corp. "plowed blowout profits into debt reduction rather than huge buyback increases." The news followed separate reporting from Rigzone that Chevron Corp. had "posted record second-quarter results that outperformed expectations." The reports, both published July 31, 2026, highlight the financial priorities of integrated majors with substantial Bakken assets. For Bakken operators and service companies, this focus on debt reduction by industry leaders reflects a conservative approach to capital allocation. After periods of high commodity price volatility, strengthening the corporate balance sheet provides resilience against future market downturns. This strategy may influence spending plans in the Williston Basin. The...

☀️Morning Wire·Aug 2
AI's Grid Strain Presents Opportunity for Bakken Gas, Infrastructure - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

AI's Grid Strain Presents Opportunity for Bakken Gas, Infrastructure

The rapid growth of artificial intelligence is creating a massive, concentrated demand for electricity that could significantly impact energy markets and infrastructure development in North Dakota, according to a report from OilPrice.com. While AI data centers are expected to account for only about 3% of global electricity demand by 2030, their impact is highly localized. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that data-center electricity consumption will roughly double between 2025 and 2030, reaching approximately 950 terawatt-hours. Nearly half of existing U.S. data-center capacity is concentrated in just five regional clusters, and half of new developments are planned for these same areas. This concentration creates a critical "inflexibility problem," OilPrice.com reported. Technology companies can build massive computing infrastructure in two to three years, but the transmission lines needed to power them can take four to eight years to complete. The IEA estimates that about 20% of planned data-center projects could face...

☀️Morning Wire·Aug 2
Global Shale, Offshore Rivals Advance as Space Solar Tech Draws Controversy - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Global Shale, Offshore Rivals Advance as Space Solar Tech Draws Controversy

Record production from Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale formation underscores the rapid globalization of shale development, a sector long dominated by U.S. plays like North Dakota's Bakken. According to OilPrice.com, Vaca Muerta's crude oil output hit an all-time high of 887,227 barrels per day in May 2026, a 19% increase from the previous year. Natural gas production also rose to 5.5 billion cubic feet per day. The boom has turned the Neuquén province into an economic powerhouse within an otherwise struggling Argentine economy. The average monthly salary in the oil and gas sector there is about $5,600, triple the average in Buenos Aires. The report notes the shale patch is now viewed by international companies as a "de-risked basin" with proven geology that offers an alternative to supplies reliant on Middle Eastern shipping corridors like the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, geopolitical turmoil is boosting investment in other Western Hemisphere projects. OilPrice.com...

☀️Morning Wire·Aug 2
Global Energy Shifts Highlight Grid, Security Challenges for Bakken - Bakken Wire
Operator News

Global Energy Shifts Highlight Grid, Security Challenges for Bakken

Global energy developments this week, from European storage shortages to a massive U.S. data center project, highlight the evolving pressures on power grids and fuel security that resonate for Bakken operators. According to OilPrice.com, Europe's energy security is under threat due to a critical lag in energy storage capacity, creating grid vulnerabilities and market volatility despite high renewable output. The European Union currently has just 55 gigawatts (GW) of storage but aims for 200 GW by 2030, according to the source. This shortfall leads to wasted renewable energy and negative pricing on power markets when supply outpaces demand. For Bakken operators, this underscores the global importance of reliable, dispatchable power and the potential market implications of energy volatility, even overseas. In the United States, a separate energy-intensive project is launching. According to Rigzone, the U.S. Department of Energy and private partners have launched a $100 billion data center project in...

☀️Morning Wire·Aug 2
Shell Divests Cyprus Gas Stake; Oil Prices Head for Monthly Gain - Bakken Wire
Pipeline & Infrastructure

Shell Divests Cyprus Gas Stake; Oil Prices Head for Monthly Gain

Shell has divested its stake in the Aphrodite gas field offshore Cyprus to Hungary's MOL, according to a report from Rigzone. The company stated its decision was "driven by disciplined capital allocation and portfolio choices," as it focuses on opportunities within its integrated LNG value chain. While this international asset sale does not directly involve the Williston Basin, it underscores a global industry trend of portfolio optimization by major operators. For Bakken-focused companies, such strategic divestments elsewhere can free up capital or signal a sharper focus on core oil-producing regions like North Dakota. Meanwhile, oil prices were positioned for a significant monthly gain despite a down trading day on Friday, July 31st. Rigzone reported that both Brent and West Texas Intermediate benchmarks were on track for a roughly 20 percent increase for the month, according to analysis from Zaye Capital Markets. Sustained price strength is a fundamental driver for Bakken...

☀️Morning Wire·Aug 2

🔆Midday Wire11:00 AM CST

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Oil Prices Gain Over 1% Midday, Bakken Differential at -$3.42 - Bakken Wire
Oil Prices

Oil Prices Gain Over 1% Midday, Bakken Differential at -$3.42

Oil prices posted solid gains in midday trading Sunday, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rising above $84 per barrel. WTI was trading at $84.67, up $1.08 or 1.29%, according to live price data. The international benchmark Brent crude traded at $90.12, a gain of $1.09 or 1.22%. The price strength follows a strong performance in July. According to Rigzone, Brent crude capped its strongest monthly gain since March as geopolitical conflicts raised concerns about global crude supplies. Support also comes from a significant drawdown in U.S. commercial inventories. Rigzone reported that U.S. crude oil stocks, excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, fell by more than 7 million barrels week-over-week. The latest Energy Information Administration data showed stocks at 404.5 million barrels for the week ending July 24. For Bakken producers, the local price benchmark showed a differential of $3.42 below WTI. This means Bakken crude is effectively priced at approximately...

🔆Midday Wire·Aug 2
Exxon, Chevron Prioritize Debt Reduction with Record Profits - Bakken Wire
Operator News

Exxon, Chevron Prioritize Debt Reduction with Record Profits

Two of the Bakken formation's largest operators, ExxonMobil and Chevron Corp., are channeling recent record profits into debt reduction rather than significantly increasing shareholder buybacks, according to separate reports from Rigzone. This financial strategy highlights a continued industry focus on balance sheet strength following a period of high commodity prices. Chevron Corp. posted record second-quarter results that outperformed expectations, Rigzone reported on July 31. On the same day, Rigzone also reported that both ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. and Chevron plowed these "blowout profits" into debt reduction. For Bakken operators and mineral owners, the move by these industry giants is a significant signal. It underscores a disciplined approach to capital allocation, prioritizing financial resilience and the ability to sustain operations through potential market downturns over immediate, outsized returns to shareholders. This conservative strategy can contribute to overall stability in the Williston Basin, as major players solidify their foundations. The focus on debt...

🔆Midday Wire·Aug 2
China's Energy Push, AI Demand Shape Long-Term Outlook for Bakken - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

China's Energy Push, AI Demand Shape Long-Term Outlook for Bakken

China's massive renewable energy buildout and the inflexible power demands of artificial intelligence data centers are creating a dual-track global energy landscape with significant long-term implications for Bakken oil and gas producers, according to industry analysis. Despite plans to dramatically expand solar and wind power, China also intends to continue growing its coal production, highlighting a global reality of rising total energy demand where fossil fuels remain essential. According to a report from OilPrice.com, China installed around 360 GW of wind and solar capacity in 2024 alone and aims to increase overall renewable energy production to 1.8 billion tons of coal equivalent by 2030. However, the nation remains the world's largest energy consumer and greenhouse gas emitter. For Bakken operators, China's ongoing reliance on coal and its vast energy consumption underscores the persistent role of hydrocarbons in the global energy mix, even amid a transition. This provides a foundational demand...

🔆Midday Wire·Aug 2
Global Roundup: Vaca Muerta Booms, Suriname Bets Big, Space Mirrors Spark Debate - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Global Roundup: Vaca Muerta Booms, Suriname Bets Big, Space Mirrors Spark Debate

Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale play, a key global shale province outside the U.S., is posting record production but failing to lift the nation's wider economy, according to OilPrice.com. Crude oil output hit an all-time high of 887,227 barrels per day in May 2026, up 19% year-over-year. Natural gas production reached 5.5 billion cubic feet per day in the same month. This boom has turned the Neuquén province into an energy hotspot, with oil and gas sector salaries averaging $5,600 monthly—triple the average in Buenos Aires. However, the report states the rest of Argentina struggles with sluggish growth, high inflation, and weak consumer spending, creating "two Argentinas." The play is viewed by companies as a de-risked basin with proven geology, offering an alternative to Middle East supply corridors. Meanwhile, Suriname's $26 billion offshore oil bet is advancing after years of delays, OilPrice.com reported. TotalEnergies and APA Corporation approved the final investment...

🔆Midday Wire·Aug 2
Global Energy Headlines: Woodside Revenue Up, Data Center Deal, Refinery Strike - Bakken Wire
Operator News

Global Energy Headlines: Woodside Revenue Up, Data Center Deal, Refinery Strike

Woodside Energy reported a 28 percent quarter-over-quarter increase in revenue, reaching $4.19 billion for Q2 2026, according to Rigzone. The Australian LNG producer's results were driven by higher prices. In a major U.S. infrastructure announcement, the Department of Energy and private partners have launched a $100 billion data center project in Kentucky, Rigzone reported on July 31. The project, set for completion in 2032, will support up to 1.8 gigawatts of utility capacity and be backed by up to 4.6 GW of dedicated generation resources built specifically for the campus. Separately, Ukraine said it attacked one of Russia's largest oil refineries, a Lukoil facility, according to a July 31 report from Rigzone. For Bakken operators and royalty owners, these global headlines underscore interconnected market forces. Rising revenue for international producers like Woodside reflects the same commodity price environment that influences Bakken crude pricing. Major power-intensive projects, like the Kentucky data...

🔆Midday Wire·Aug 2
Pipeline Roundup: Federal Land Policy Reauthorized, Shell Exits Cyprus Gas - Bakken Wire
Pipeline & Infrastructure

Pipeline Roundup: Federal Land Policy Reauthorized, Shell Exits Cyprus Gas

Industry groups have welcomed the Senate Natural Resources Committee's (SENRC) approval of the License to Drill Act, a move providing regulatory continuity for oil and gas producers operating on federal lands. According to Rigzone, Dan Naatz, Executive Vice President and Chief Policy Officer of the Independent Petroleum Association of America (IPAA), stated that "S.5039 reauthorizes a long-standing policy that is an important framework for federal land producers." For Bakken operators with holdings on federal acreage, particularly in Western North Dakota, the reauthorization of this framework is seen as a critical factor in maintaining predictable permitting and development timelines. In a separate international development, Shell has agreed to divest its stake in the Aphrodite gas field offshore Cyprus to Hungary's MOL. Rigzone reported that Shell's decision is "driven by disciplined capital allocation and portfolio choices, as we focus on opportunities that strengthen our integrated LNG value chain." While this transaction does...

🔆Midday Wire·Aug 2
Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27 as Oil Prices Surge Above $84 - Bakken Wire
Production Data

Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27 as Oil Prices Surge Above $84

North Dakota's active drilling rig count held steady at 27 units on Sunday, as strengthening crude oil prices provided a supportive backdrop for Bakken operators. The benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude price rose $1.08 to settle at $84.67 per barrel, a gain of 1.29%, according to live Bakken Wire data. The international Brent benchmark also climbed, adding $1.09 to reach $90.12. The price for Bakken crude at the wellhead remains at a discount to the WTI benchmark, but that differential narrowed to -$3.42 per barrel. This narrowing discount improves the netback for producers selling Bakken-grade crude. Meanwhile, natural gas prices were listed at $2.75 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). The current rig count of 27 provides a concrete indicator of near-term drilling and completion activity. Historically, the number of active rigs is a leading indicator for future oil production, as new wells must be drilled and completed before...

🔆Midday Wire·Aug 2
Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27 as Oil Prices Rise - Bakken Wire
Workforce & Community

Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27 as Oil Prices Rise

The active drilling rig count in North Dakota held steady at 27 this week, according to midday data from Bakken Wire. This level of activity, combined with rising crude oil benchmarks, points to continued, measured support for employment and local economies in the Bakken formation. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was trading at $84.67, up $1.08 or 1.29%, while the international Brent benchmark rose to $90.12. The Bakken crude differential was at a discount of $3.42 per barrel versus WTI. Natural gas was priced at $2.75 per MMBtu. In the Bakken region, the rig count is a primary indicator of direct oilfield employment and a leading signal for service company demand. A count in the mid-to-high 20s, as seen currently, reflects a stable but conservative level of development compared to previous boom cycles. This steadiness typically translates into consistent, rather than volatile, demand for workers across drilling, completion, and production...

🔆Midday Wire·Aug 2

🌅Afternoon Wire4:00 PM CST

WTI, Brent Steady as July Posts Strong Gains on Supply Concerns - Bakken Wire
Oil Prices

WTI, Brent Steady as July Posts Strong Gains on Supply Concerns

Front-month oil prices held flat on Sunday, with West Texas Intermediate at $84.67 per barrel and Brent crude at $90.12 per barrel, according to live price data. The stability follows a month of significant gains driven by geopolitical tensions and tightening U.S. supplies. Brent crude capped its strongest monthly gain since March in July, Rigzone reported. The surge was attributed to geopolitical conflicts raising concerns about global crude supplies. This provided underlying support to the global benchmark, which continues to trade at a premium to U.S. grades. In the United States, a substantial drawdown in commercial inventories is tightening the domestic market. The U.S. Energy Information Administration's latest weekly report showed crude oil stocks, excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, fell by more than 7 million barrels week-on-week to 404.5 million barrels as of July 24, according to Rigzone. For Bakken operators, the key pricing metric is the differential to WTI....

🌅Afternoon Wire·Aug 2
North Dakota Rig Count Holds at 27 Amid Federal Land Policy News - Bakken Wire
Rig Report

North Dakota Rig Count Holds at 27 Amid Federal Land Policy News

North Dakota's active drilling rig count was unchanged on Sunday, holding at 27, according to live data from Bakken Wire. No rigs were added, removed, or moved location since the previous day. The current fleet represents a significant increase from activity levels seen just one week ago. On July 26, 2026, the state reported 23 active rigs, marking a four-rig gain over the past seven days. Compared to one month ago, on July 3, 2026, the count is also up by two rigs from a base of 25. The steady activity comes as federal land policy, which impacts some operators in the Bakken region, has been in the news. According to a July 31 report from Rigzone, industry groups welcomed the Senate Natural Resources Committee's approval of the License to Drill Act. Dan Naatz, Executive Vice President and Chief Policy Officer of the Independent Petroleum Association of America (IPAA), stated...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Aug 2
Exxon, Chevron Use Record Profits for Debt Reduction - Bakken Wire
Operator News

Exxon, Chevron Use Record Profits for Debt Reduction

ExxonMobil and Chevron Corp. are directing massive recent profits toward reducing debt rather than significantly increasing shareholder buybacks, according to a report from Rigzone. The financial strategy, described as using "blowout profits" for debt reduction, was reported on July 31. This move follows a period of record earnings for Chevron. The company posted record second-quarter results for the period ending June 30, 2026, which outperformed market expectations, Rigzone separately reported. The focus on strengthening balance sheets by two of the world's largest integrated oil companies provides a key signal for independent operators in the Bakken formation. When majors prioritize debt repayment, it often reflects a conservative approach to capital allocation, emphasizing financial resilience. This can influence broader industry sentiment and investment patterns. For Bakken-focused producers, the majors' strategy underscores the importance of fiscal discipline even during periods of high commodity prices and strong cash flow. Operators in North Dakota's Williston...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Aug 2
China's Slowing Car Market, Clean Energy Push Shape Global Oil Demand Outlook - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

China's Slowing Car Market, Clean Energy Push Shape Global Oil Demand Outlook

China's domestic car market is experiencing a significant slowdown in 2026, a development with direct implications for global oil demand and, by extension, Bakken crude prices. According to OilPrice.com, passenger vehicle sales in China decreased by 20.2% in the first half of 2026. The China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) now projects full-year retail sales will decline by 14% to 20.4 million units, down from a record 23.7 million in 2025. A key factor in the sales decline is a 39% year-on-year drop in June sales of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, linked to a 15.3% year-on-year increase in transportation energy costs reported by China’s National Bureau of Statistics. While this points to weaker immediate gasoline demand, the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) in China is also facing headwinds from reduced government subsidies. Sales of new electric and hybrid vehicles (NEVs) are still expected to decline, but by a lesser 5-6%...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Aug 2
Global Roundup: Vaca Muerta Booms, AI Strains Grids, Woodside Revenue Rises - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Global Roundup: Vaca Muerta Booms, AI Strains Grids, Woodside Revenue Rises

Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale play set a record with crude oil output reaching 887,227 barrels per day in May, a 19% increase from a year earlier, according to OilPrice.com. Natural gas production also rose to 5.5 billion cubic feet per day. Despite this boom, the economic benefits remain largely confined to the Neuquén province, creating a stark divide as the rest of Argentina grapples with high inflation and weak consumer spending. The shale patch has turned Neuquén into a high-wage hub, with average monthly oil and gas sector salaries of about $5,600—three times the average in Buenos Aires. Economists describe "two Argentinas," with the government betting on Vaca Muerta and mining to prop up the wider economy. The play's success has made Argentina the fourth-largest oil producer in Latin America and positioned it as a top destination for international oil companies seeking a de-risked basin outside the Middle East. Meanwhile,...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Aug 2
Global Energy News Roundup: Data Centers, Attacks, and Divestments - Bakken Wire
Operator News

Global Energy News Roundup: Data Centers, Attacks, and Divestments

The U.S. Department of Energy and private partners have launched a $100 billion data center project in Kentucky, according to Rigzone. The campus, set for completion in 2032, will eventually support up to 1.8 gigawatts of utility capacity and be backed by up to 4.6 GW of dedicated generation resources built for the project. For Bakken operators, this massive investment in energy-intensive infrastructure underscores the growing, long-term demand for reliable power generation, which could influence national energy priorities and markets. In international news, Ukraine has claimed it attacked one of Russia's largest oil refineries, operated by Lukoil, Rigzone reported. Such geopolitical events can cause volatility in global crude oil markets. While the Bakken formation is a domestic producer, price fluctuations driven by international supply disruptions can impact the economics for North Dakota's oil operators and royalty owners. Separately, Shell has divested its stake in the Aphrodite gas field offshore Cyprus...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Aug 2
Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27 as Oil Prices Remain Elevated - Bakken Wire
Production Data

Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27 as Oil Prices Remain Elevated

The North Dakota oil industry is showing signs of stabilization, with the active rig count holding at 27 and benchmark crude prices maintaining strength above $80 per barrel, according to live Bakken data for August 2, 2026. The current WTI crude price of $84.67 and Brent at $90.12 provide a favorable revenue environment for Bakken producers. The Bakken crude differential, a discount applied to the local grade, was recorded at -$3.42 versus WTI. Natural gas prices were at $2.75. The rig count of 27 serves as a key indicator of near-term drilling activity and future production potential. Historically, the number of active drilling rigs in the Williston Basin has been a leading indicator, with changes in the count typically preceding shifts in oil production volumes by several months. A stable or increasing rig count suggests operators are committing capital to drill new wells, which will later be completed and brought...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Aug 2
Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27 Amid Flat Oil Prices - Bakken Wire
Workforce & Community

Bakken Rig Count Holds at 27 Amid Flat Oil Prices

The active rig count in North Dakota held steady at 27 on Sunday, August 2, 2026, according to Bakken Wire data. This stability in drilling activity comes as benchmark oil prices showed little movement, with WTI crude trading at $84.67 per barrel. The current rig count, while significantly lower than the boom-era peaks, represents a sustained level of operational activity in the Williston Basin. Historically, the number of active drilling rigs is a leading indicator for direct and indirect employment in the region's oilfields. Steady rig activity supports a consistent demand for field personnel, including drilling crews, completion teams, and maintenance workers. This provides a degree of predictability for the local workforce and reduces the volatility that has characterized previous market cycles. Sustained production from existing wells also requires a permanent operations workforce, which contributes to community stability. For local economies in western North Dakota, a stable rig count helps...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Aug 2