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Monday, April 27, 2026

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The Afternoon Take - Energy Market Briefing
The Afternoon Take

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☀️Morning Wire7:00 AM CST

Crude Prices Rise Amid Hormuz Disruption, Sanctions Pressure - Bakken Wire
Oil Prices

Crude Prices Rise Amid Hormuz Disruption, Sanctions Pressure

Oil prices climbed Monday morning as stalled U.S.-Iran diplomacy and continued disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz injected a fresh risk premium into the market, according to OilPrice.com. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude traded at $95.05 per barrel, a gain of $0.65 or 0.69%. Brent crude rose to $100.13, up $1.01. The premium for Bakken crude narrowed, with its differential to WTI at -$3.42. The price movement accelerated after plans for a second round of peace talks between Washington and Tehran broke down and President Donald Trump canceled a U.S. negotiating mission over the weekend, OilPrice.com reported. Tanker constraints through the Strait of Hormuz, a route that normally carries about a fifth of global crude flows, kept supply fears elevated. The market is also beginning to price the supply threat into refined products, with gains in gasoline and heating oil noted. Geopolitical pressure was further underscored by U.S. sanctions escalation...

☀️Morning Wire·Apr 27
North Dakota Rig Count Holds at 23 for Fourth Consecutive Week - Bakken Wire
Rig Report

North Dakota Rig Count Holds at 23 for Fourth Consecutive Week

North Dakota's active drilling rig count remained unchanged at 23 on Monday, April 27, 2026, according to live data from Bakken Wire. There were no new rigs added, no rigs removed, and no rigs that moved location since the previous report. The current count represents stability in the Williston Basin's drilling activity, holding at the same level recorded 26 days ago on April 1. However, the fleet has seen a slight uptick over the past week, increasing by two rigs from the 21 active rigs reported on April 20. A steady rig count in the low-to-mid 20s has been characteristic of the Bakken formation for an extended period, reflecting a disciplined capital expenditure environment among operators. This activity level is sufficient to maintain, and in some cases slightly grow, the state's oil production, which has been hovering near post-pandemic highs. The focus for many companies continues to be on drilling...

☀️Morning Wire·Apr 27
DMR Daily Activity Report Shows No New Filings for Sunday - Bakken Wire
Daily Activity

DMR Daily Activity Report Shows No New Filings for Sunday

The North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources (DMR) daily activity report for Sunday, April 26, 2026, contained no new filings. The report, which is typically updated each business day, listed no new permits, well completions, spud notices, or plugging records. The DMR daily activity report is a key source of operational intelligence for the Bakken oil patch. It provides the earliest public indication of operator plans and activity, tracking new drilling permits approved, wells that have been completed and are ready for production, wells that have started drilling (spud), and wells that have been permanently plugged. Days with no reported activity are a normal occurrence, according to historical reporting patterns. They are most common on weekends and state holidays when regulatory offices are closed and operators typically do not submit paperwork. The lack of filings for Sunday aligns with this typical pattern. The next report, expected later today, will cover...

☀️Morning Wire·Apr 27
Global Power Demand and Geopolitics Shape Energy Landscape - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Global Power Demand and Geopolitics Shape Energy Landscape

Record-breaking heat in India is driving global power demand to new highs, a factor that influences the broader energy complex and commodity prices tied to Bakken production. According to OilPrice.com, India's peak power demand hit 256 gigawatts (GW) on Saturday, April 25, 2026, beating a record of 252 GW set the prior day. This surge, driven by early summer heat waves, marks the start of the country's peak electricity demand season. While India's solar capacity grows, the nation remains reliant on coal-fired generation to meet evening and nighttime demand spikes. Official government data shows coal demand from Indian power plants is set to rise by 11.5% in the April to June quarter. This sustained demand for baseload fossil fuels provides underlying support for global energy markets, which can indirectly impact the pricing environment for Bakken crude oil and associated natural gas. Concurrently, geopolitical developments are introducing new uncertainties. Rigzone reported...

☀️Morning Wire·Apr 27
Global Energy Shift Pressures Fossil Demand, Straits Tensions Loom - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Global Energy Shift Pressures Fossil Demand, Straits Tensions Loom

A record surge in renewable energy generation cut India's fossil fuel power use by 3.3% in 2025, according to an analysis by clean energy think tank Ember. The data, reported by OilPrice.com, shows India's fossil fuel-powered generation dipped by 52 terawatt-hours last year due to milder weather and a sharp rise in clean electricity. Renewable power generation from solar, wind, hydro, and bioenergy in India saw a record increase of 98 TWh, soaring 24% over 2024. Solar and wind both set new individual records, rising 37% and 28% respectively. Ember noted that beyond temporary factors like weather, the record renewable additions point to a "decreasing reliance on fossil generation to meet growing electricity demand." Despite this shift, India continues to rely on coal as a pillar of its power system. Amid a current gas crisis, the country's Power Minister last month ordered coal-fired plants to run at full capacity for...

☀️Morning Wire·Apr 27
Operators Pursue Global Power Projects; Bakken Demand Outlook Mixed - Bakken Wire
Operator News

Operators Pursue Global Power Projects; Bakken Demand Outlook Mixed

Major energy operators are advancing significant power generation and asset sales globally, according to recent reports. These moves highlight the industry's focus on electricity infrastructure, a key cost and potential revenue factor for Bakken shale operations. TotalEnergies and its local partners have agreed to proceed with a $1.2-billion onshore wind and battery storage project in Kazakhstan, Rigzone reported Monday. The project is capable of powering 1 million people. For Bakken operators, many of whom are pursuing emissions reduction goals, such large-scale renewable investments by integrated oil majors could signal a continued strategic shift. In another international move, Spanish company Iberdrola has completed the sale of its Mexican assets, including 2.6 gigawatts (GW) of installed capacity, to fellow Spanish firm Cox for $4 billion, according to a separate Rigzone report. This exit from a major market reflects ongoing portfolio optimization among global energy players, a trend that can influence capital allocation...

☀️Morning Wire·Apr 27
Global Oil Flows, Shipping Waiver Extension Impact Bakken Outlook - Bakken Wire
Pipeline & Infrastructure

Global Oil Flows, Shipping Waiver Extension Impact Bakken Outlook

Oil prices faced downward pressure last week amid renewed diplomatic hopes concerning Iran, according to Rigzone. The news service reported that prices dipped as potential U.S.-Iran talks raised hopes for restored flows from the sanctioned nation. Concurrently, Iran was continuing to load millions of barrels of oil onto supertankers despite U.S. blocks, Rigzone separately noted. These global developments directly influence the price environment for Bakken crude. Lower benchmark prices can narrow the differential between Bakken wellhead prices and coastal benchmarks, squeezing producer margins in North Dakota. The potential for additional Iranian barrels entering the market remains a persistent concern for global supply balances. Domestically, a key logistical waiver has been extended. The White House has given a 90-day extension to a shipping waiver making it easier to move oil, fuel, and fertilizer around the United States, Rigzone reported. The waiver, now extended to August, was granted by President Donald Trump's...

☀️Morning Wire·Apr 27
Bakken Rig Count Holds at 23 as Oil Prices Signal Support - Bakken Wire
Production Data

Bakken Rig Count Holds at 23 as Oil Prices Signal Support

North Dakota's oil and gas activity showed stability at the start of the week, with the state's active rig count holding at 23, according to live Bakken data for Monday, April 27, 2026. The figure provides a key indicator of near-term drilling intentions by operators in the Williston Basin. The current rig count sits at a level that has historically supported maintaining production from the Bakken formation's large inventory of existing wells. A sustained rig count in the low-to-mid 20s is typically associated with a relatively flat production trajectory, offsetting natural decline rates from legacy wells without driving significant volumetric growth. Supporting the current pace of activity are robust crude oil prices. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude traded at $95.05 per barrel, up $0.65 on the day. The global benchmark, Brent crude, was above the $100 mark at $100.13, a gain of $1.01. The strong price environment provides favorable economics...

☀️Morning Wire·Apr 27

🔆Midday Wire11:00 AM CST

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Crude Prices Surge Over $96 as Iran War Disruption Fuels Market - Bakken Wire
Oil Prices

Crude Prices Surge Over $96 as Iran War Disruption Fuels Market

Crude oil prices rose sharply in midday trading Monday, with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continuing to drive the market. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude traded at $96.12 per barrel, a gain of $1.72 or 1.82%. The global benchmark, Brent crude, rose $2.18 to $101.31 per barrel, according to live price data. The primary driver remains the ongoing conflict involving Iran, which has blocked the crucial Strait of Hormuz shipping passage. According to a report from OilPrice.com, UK Chief Secretary to the Prime Minister Darren Jones stated that surging energy and food prices caused by the war could last for "eight-plus months" after the conflict ends. The Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for global oil shipments, has been largely blocked since the end of February. Jones attributed the price pressures directly to the conflict, stating on Sunday, "You’re going to see prices go up a bit as a...

🔆Midday Wire·Apr 27
Global Market Shifts from Hormuz Crisis May Benefit Bakken Exports - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Global Market Shifts from Hormuz Crisis May Benefit Bakken Exports

The U.S.-Iran diplomatic standoff over Tehran's nuclear program is prolonging the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, creating global supply dislocations that may open doors for North American energy exports, including from the Bakken. According to OilPrice.com, a second round of peace talks mediated by Pakistan was called off over the weekend after Iran said its team would not meet with American negotiators. U.S. President Donald Trump canceled the trip of envoys to Islamabad, citing "tremendous infighting and confusion" within Iran's leadership in a social media post on April 26. Meanwhile, Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araqchi, met with Russian President Vladimir Putin in St. Petersburg on April 27 to shore up support. The stalemate leaves a key Iranian proposal—to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for later nuclear talks—unresolved, according to an April 26 Axios report. The continued closure of the strategic waterway is forcing major global buyers to...

🔆Midday Wire·Apr 27
Global Tensions, Rig Count Stabilize as Eni Boosts Buybacks - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Global Tensions, Rig Count Stabilize as Eni Boosts Buybacks

The U.S. remains effectively blockading the Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf region as part of its ongoing "Economic Fury" campaign against Iran, according to an analysis from OilPrice.com. The report states the blockade, a response to Iran's own actions, has locked the U.S. into a position creating "multiple defensive and economic vulnerabilities." The analysis speculates this geopolitical shift may place Washington in a strategic position to counter China's influence, which it identifies as a long-term concern, particularly regarding Taiwan. In North American drilling activity, the weekly rig loss streak has ended. Baker Hughes reported North America added one rig week-on-week, according to Rigzone. The stabilization follows several consecutive weeks of declines in the closely watched rotary rig count. Separately, European energy major Eni is significantly increasing capital returns to shareholders. The Italian state-backed company plans to raise its share repurchase program to EUR 2.8 billion (approximately $3.3 billion), a...

🔆Midday Wire·Apr 27
BP Stock Leads Majors Amid War, Execs See US Output Rise - Bakken Wire
Operator News

BP Stock Leads Majors Amid War, Execs See US Output Rise

BP Plc has emerged as the top-performing stock among oil supermajors during the ongoing Iran war, according to Rigzone. The company, long considered a laggard in the sector, is now leading its peers amid the geopolitical tensions. Most oil executives expect U.S. oil production to increase in response to the Iran war, Rigzone reported, citing an update to the first quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey. This outlook suggests domestic operators, including those in the Bakken formation, could see heightened incentives to ramp up output to fill potential supply gaps caused by the conflict. However, a critical threshold for global market stability is approaching. Bjarne Schieldrop, SEB Chief Commodities Analyst, stated that "alarm bells will ring loudly" if the Strait of Hormuz does not reopen during May, Rigzone reported. The strait is a vital shipping channel for Middle Eastern crude, and its prolonged closure would exacerbate supply concerns and likely sustain...

🔆Midday Wire·Apr 27
Global Energy Transition Deals Highlight Diverging Investment Flows - Bakken Wire
Pipeline & Infrastructure

Global Energy Transition Deals Highlight Diverging Investment Flows

Major international energy financing and asset sales announced Monday highlight the continued global flow of capital into renewable power generation and storage projects, according to wire service reports. For Bakken operators and investors, these deals underscore the competitive landscape for long-term energy investment. European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has loaned $45 million to agribusiness Kernel for a 106 MW solar farm with energy storage in southern Ukraine, Rigzone reported. The project represents the type of bank-financed, utility-scale renewable development occurring in markets outside the United States. In a larger move, TotalEnergies and local partners have given final approval to a $1.2 billion onshore wind and battery storage project in Kazakhstan. The project is slated to have capacity sufficient to power one million people, Rigzone noted. The French major's investment decision reflects a strategic focus on large-scale renewable energy assets in growing markets. Separately, a significant asset consolidation has...

🔆Midday Wire·Apr 27
Geopolitical Tensions, Power Demand Shape Bakken's Regulatory Landscape - Bakken Wire
Regulatory

Geopolitical Tensions, Power Demand Shape Bakken's Regulatory Landscape

Geopolitical developments affecting global oil markets and a major utility's power generation plans are key regulatory and market factors for Bakken operators this week. Iran's top diplomat is in Russia for coordination talks, according to Rigzone, after U.S.-Israeli military actions disrupted bilateral meetings. While not directly involving North Dakota, such geopolitical tensions in key oil-producing regions can influence global crude prices and market volatility. Price stability is a critical factor for Bakken producers planning drilling budgets and well completion schedules. On the domestic energy front, utility CenterPoint Energy has announced a significant target for new power generation to serve data centers. Rigzone reported the company plans to energize 8 gigawatts of generation projects catered to data centers by 2029. This large-scale commitment to power demand growth underscores the competing pressures on the nation's electricity grid. For the Bakken region, these developments frame a complex operating environment. Geopolitical risk abroad remains...

🔆Midday Wire·Apr 27
Bakken Rig Count Holds at 23 as Oil Prices Surge Above $96 - Bakken Wire
Production Data

Bakken Rig Count Holds at 23 as Oil Prices Surge Above $96

North Dakota's Bakken formation shows signs of stability as the active drilling rig count held steady at 23 on Monday, with surging crude prices providing a supportive backdrop for operators. The state's activity level, a key indicator of future production, has remained in a tight range for months, reflecting a mature phase of focused development. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was trading at $96.12 per barrel midday Monday, up $1.72 on the day, according to live Bakken Wire data. The international benchmark Brent crude rose to $101.31. The Bakken crude differential—the discount at which Bakken barrels trade versus WTI at the Cushing, Oklahoma hub—was quoted at -$3.42, a relatively narrow spread that supports stronger wellhead economics for North Dakota producers. Historically, the number of active drilling rigs is a leading indicator for oil production, with a typical six-to-nine month lag between a new well being spud and its contribution to...

🔆Midday Wire·Apr 27
Bakken Rig Count Holds at 23 Amid High Oil Prices - Bakken Wire
Workforce & Community

Bakken Rig Count Holds at 23 Amid High Oil Prices

The number of active drilling rigs in North Dakota held steady at 23 on Monday, a level that continues to support a stabilized workforce and local business environment in the Bakken region. The count, a key indicator of oilfield employment, remains significantly below the historic boom peaks but reflects a consistent, capital-disciplined operational tempo by producers. The activity is underpinned by strong global crude prices. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude traded at $96.12 per barrel midday Monday, up $1.72, while the international Brent benchmark reached $101.31, according to live market data. The Bakken crude price differential was $-3.42 versus WTI. Sustained prices above $90 per barrel provide the revenue necessary for companies to maintain current drilling and completion crews. For Bakken communities, the current rig count suggests a plateau in direct oilfield employment. The high-price, moderate-activity environment typically supports steady jobs for drilling crews, hydraulic fracturing teams, and related well...

🔆Midday Wire·Apr 27

🌅Afternoon Wire4:00 PM CST

Oil Prices Surge Over 2%, WTI Nears $97 on OPEC+ Rumors - Bakken Wire
Oil Prices

Oil Prices Surge Over 2%, WTI Nears $97 on OPEC+ Rumors

Front-month crude oil futures rallied sharply on Monday, with both major benchmarks posting gains exceeding 2%. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for June delivery settled at $96.66 per barrel, a gain of $2.26. The global benchmark, Brent crude, rose $2.67 to close at $101.80 per barrel. The rally was largely attributed to market anticipation ahead of the upcoming OPEC+ meeting. According to a Reuters report, OPEC and its allies, led by Russia, are not expected to change their current oil output policy when the group meets online on June 2. The report noted that several OPEC+ producers are already making additional output cuts under a voluntary deal that runs through the end of June. This expectation of continued supply restraint provided a firm floor for prices. Further supporting prices were ongoing geopolitical tensions. A Bloomberg report indicated that Israel's military campaign in Gaza continued, sustaining a geopolitical risk premium in...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Apr 27
North Dakota Bakken Rig Count Holds at 23 After Daily Churn - Bakken Wire
Rig Report

North Dakota Bakken Rig Count Holds at 23 After Daily Churn

The number of active drilling rigs in North Dakota held steady at 23 on Monday, April 27, following a day of offsetting activity that saw one new rig start up and one rig released. According to live rig data, one rig also moved to a new location within the Bakken formation. Slawson Exploration Company, Inc. added a new rig to the field, deploying the T&S Drilling 2 rig to a location in Mountrail County (157-91-16). Concurrently, SOGC, LLC released the Noble 2 rig from its location in McKenzie County (147-98-3). In a separate move, Oasis Petroleum North America LLC relocated its Noble 4 rig to a new site, also in Mountrail County (157-93-13). The day's activity results in no net change to the state's total, which has shown stability over the past month. The current count of 23 rigs is exactly level with the count recorded 26 days ago on...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Apr 27
Iran Talks Disruption Adds Geopolitical Risk to Oil Markets - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Iran Talks Disruption Adds Geopolitical Risk to Oil Markets

The diplomatic envoy for Iran was in Russia on Monday to coordinate with officials after recent U.S.-Israeli military action disrupted bilateral talks, according to a report from Rigzone. The development, attributed to Iran's top diplomat Araghchi, injects new uncertainty into geopolitical tensions that directly influence global oil prices. For Bakken shale operators, stability in global crude markets is a key factor in planning drilling budgets and production schedules. The Bakken formation in North Dakota is a price-sensitive play, where breakeven costs are closely tied to the prevailing price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude. Any escalation of tensions in key oil-producing regions like the Middle East typically creates a risk premium, supporting higher prices. Conversely, the potential for renewed diplomacy or a de-escalation could remove that premium. The specific report that talks are "in limbo" and require coordination with Russia suggests a prolonged period of uncertainty. This type of geopolitical...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Apr 27
Strait of Hormuz Standoff, Fusion Funding Scrutinized in Global Roundup - Bakken Wire
Global Markets

Strait of Hormuz Standoff, Fusion Funding Scrutinized in Global Roundup

The United Arab Emirates has requested a currency swap line from the U.S. government, a move described by one analyst as a potential sign of financial stress stemming from the ongoing Iran conflict, according to an OilPrice.com report. The UAE government insists the request for dollars is merely a precaution, but the source argues it reflects real stress, as the war has prevented most oil exports and reduced tourist and expatriate dollars flowing into the Gulf nation. The same financial pressures are likely affecting other Persian Gulf countries, the report states. The conflict, involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, is characterized as a geopolitically intractable "N-body problem" with no resolution in sight, according to the same source. As long as there is no agreement, Iran is expected to continue its stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz, severely limiting energy and resource exports from the Persian Gulf. This prolonged disruption...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Apr 27
Oil Prices Rise Amid Allied Rift Over Iran War, Geopolitical Risk Looms - Bakken Wire
Operator News

Oil Prices Rise Amid Allied Rift Over Iran War, Geopolitical Risk Looms

Oil prices moved higher Monday as diplomatic talks stalled and geopolitical tensions prolonged, according to Rigzone. The market reaction underscores the ongoing risk premium attached to the U.S.-Iran conflict, a situation directly impacting global crude benchmarks and Bakken wellhead economics. The geopolitical landscape saw a significant development as Germany, a major U.S. ally, signaled a major rupture in Western backing for the war. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz delivered a blunt public warning, stating Iran had proven "clearly stronger than one thought" and that the United States risked sinking deeper into a Middle East quagmire and being "humiliated," OilPrice.com reported. The criticism from the leader of Europe's largest economy points to growing allied discomfort over the strategic direction and economic costs of the war. The economic fallout from the conflict is already spreading. Germany's GfK consumer-climate index plunged to minus 33.3 for May, the sharpest monthly deterioration since the 2022 energy...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Apr 27
Majors Boost Investor Returns, Execs See U.S. Output Rising Amid War - Bakken Wire
Pipeline & Infrastructure

Majors Boost Investor Returns, Execs See U.S. Output Rising Amid War

Italian energy major Eni plans to raise its share repurchase program by 90% to 2.8 billion euros ($3.3 billion), according to Rigzone. The move, announced Monday, is driven by a stronger cash flow projection from higher oil prices. Separately, BP Plc has emerged as the top-performing stock among oil supermajors during the ongoing Iran war, Rigzone reported. The company, previously a sector laggard, is now leading its peers. A majority of oil and gas executives expect U.S. oil production to increase in response to the Iran war, according to an update to the first-quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey cited by Rigzone. The survey reflects industry sentiment on the conflict's impact on domestic output. For Bakken operators and royalty owners, these developments signal a continued focus by major international players on returning cash to shareholders amid a high-price environment. The outperformance of a major like BP can influence broader market sentiment...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Apr 27
Global Energy Shifts Highlight Bakken Market Risks, Opportunities - Bakken Wire
Regulatory

Global Energy Shifts Highlight Bakken Market Risks, Opportunities

A prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz would trigger significant alarm for global oil markets, a concern directly relevant to Bakken crude prices and export competitiveness, according to a commodities analyst. SEB Chief Commodities Analyst Bjarne Schieldrop stated that "alarm bells will ring loudly" if the critical shipping channel does not reopen during May, Rigzone reported Monday. The Strait is a major conduit for Middle Eastern crude, and any extended disruption typically increases global price volatility, which directly impacts the value of Bakken oil. Meanwhile, two major renewable energy project announcements highlight the continued global investment shift toward alternatives. In Ukraine, agribusiness Kernel secured a $45-million loan from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development for a 106 MW solar farm supported by energy storage in southern Ukraine, Rigzone reported. Separately, TotalEnergies and its local partners agreed to proceed with a $1.2-billion onshore wind plus battery energy storage system...

🌅Afternoon Wire·Apr 27
Iberdrola Exits Mexico in $4 Billion Deal - Bakken Wire
Production Data

Iberdrola Exits Mexico in $4 Billion Deal

Spanish energy firm Iberdrola has completed the sale of its assets in Mexico to fellow Spanish company Cox for $4 billion, according to a report from Rigzone. The deal includes 2.6 gigawatts of installed power generation capacity. The transaction represents a significant portfolio shift for Iberdrola away from the Mexican market. For the global energy sector, large-scale asset divestitures and acquisitions can signal changing strategic priorities and regional risk assessments by major operators. While this deal involves international power generation assets and does not directly impact Bakken oil production, it underscores the ongoing global repositioning within the broader energy industry. Major companies are continually evaluating their portfolios, which can influence capital allocation and investment focus across all energy sectors, including oil and gas. In the context of North Dakota's Bakken formation, the movement of large sums of capital and strategic exits in other regions can indirectly affect the investment landscape....

🌅Afternoon Wire·Apr 27